From the perspective of natural population growth rate, 11 of the 26 provinces experienced negative natural population growth, namely Heilongjiang, Jilin, Liaoning, Chongqing, Inner Mongolia, Hunan, Jiangsu, Shanghai, Hubei, Hebei and Shanxi. Among them, Jiangsu, Hubei, Hunan, Inner Mongolia and Shanxi are the first time that the natural population growth rate has turned negative in recent decades.
And the natural population growth rate of Heilongjiang in the northeast was -5.11‰, that of Liaoning was -4.18‰, and Jilin was -3.38‰. Among them, Jilin has experienced natural negative population growth for many consecutive years since 2018. While Heilongjiang has experienced natural negative population growth for seven consecutive years.
Yi Baozhong, a professor at the Northeast Asia Research Institute of Jilin University, analyzed that the birth rate in Northeast China is low due to two factors.
- Oneis the industrial structure factor:
The decline of the old industrial base and the relatively old industry with the industry structure mainly focusing on the heavy capital and heavy chemical, which has a poor ability to absorb labor, has led to the exodus of young people. After the exodus of young people, the birth rate also falls.
- The otheris also related to historical inertia and demographic structure:
Northeast China has early industrialization and urbanization, strict implementation of birth control, and a large proportion of only children. These only children are now the main body of births in Northeast China, so the birth rate is lower.